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In their latest commentary, money manager Wentworth, Hauser, and Violich reflect upon what has happened in the markets and the economy over the past year, and what we can expect going forward. Wentworth believes that the U.S. and global economies are recovering, and that there is continued evidence which supports this. Leading economic indicators, low interest rates, a steep yield curve, global monetary and fiscal stimulus, an improving domestic housing market, and the consumer sentiment index are all contributing factors. Despite these positive signs, there are a number of things that could hamper the strength of the recovery. Massive government intervention has done its part to help stabilize, but in the long run what will be the implications of this? Taming inflation, a proper exit strategy for the Fed to unwind its balance sheet, and the role of the U.S. consumer, are the key components to watch out for.
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