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44 posts tagged with "Money Manager Commentary" Page 1 of 5 pages  1 2 3 >  Last »

Comparing Central Banks with Macquarie Allegiance

Posted by Victoria A. Clarke on 3/28/11 8:27 am

Money manager Macquarie Allegiance compares the actions of the US, EU and Chinese central banks over the last decade and how certain trends may be fading. "A lot of attention is on the Federal Reserve policy outlook, unsurprisingly because the economy is proving strong and the second round of quantitative easing is scheduled to end in June 2011. However, an international perspective would suggest that the Fed is no longer leading global policy; in fact the Fed is likely to be the next to last major developed country central bank to tighten monetary policy."

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Higher Treasury Yields Likely - Macquarie Allegiance

Posted by Michael O'Connor on 3/2/11 9:05 am

Money manager Macquarie Allegiance's February newsletter details why they think Treasury yields will continue to increase, especially in the 10 year Treasury. "Our analysis shows that the improving trend of the economy has been pressuring Treasury yields higher. The current macro momentum suggests we are heading for the third test of 4.0% on the 10Y yield in this cycle. However, inflation pressures in the US remain low despite the added pressure coming from surging commodity prices. We conclude that the persistence of a large negative output gap is helping to contain inflation pressures."

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Macquarie Allegiance's 2011 Rollercoaster Ride

Posted by Victoria A. Clarke on 2/3/11 11:47 am

Money manager Macquarie Allegiance's January commentary reviews 2010 and provides their outlook for 2011. Graham McDevitt, the Co-Chief Investment Officer, believes the 'ride' this year will be significantly different compared to the rollercoaster of 2010. Read about their themes and risks facing investors in 2011 in this month's commentary.

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Stall Speed with Roosevelt Investment Group's September Commentary

Posted by Gabriel F. Burczyk on 9/15/10 7:26 am

While our belief continues to be that a double-dip scenario is unlikely, we think the odds that we may be headed back into recession have increased ever so slightly. In our opinion the economy is moving along at a rate of growth akin to stall speed, an aeronautical concept that describes the speed below which an airplane cannot create enough lift to sustain its weight. The longer our economy proceeds at this low level of growth, the greater the chances in our view that some exogenous factor or event could be enough of a headwind to push the economy into recession.

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Understand the Importance of Asset Class Correlation with Avatar Associates

Posted by Michael O'Connor on 9/9/10 11:44 am

One of the most important features of the investment markets of the last decade or more has been the gradual rise, across the globe, in the correlation relationships between assets of all types. That is, markets are increasingly moving together. These markets can be as diverse as an emerging country equity index and a domestic equity sector…Too much similarity among dissimilar investments leads, in fact, to instability.

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Not Too Cold, Not Too Hot - Macquarie Allegiance

Posted by Michael O'Connor on 9/9/10 8:30 am

2010 is proving to be a great year for fixed income. For the year, the Barclays Aggregate Index is up 7.8% at the end of August. This compares favorably with equity markets, which remain in negative territory, around 4% through August. The surprise for fixed income investors has been the performance of Treasuries, where yields plunged below 2.5% on the 10-Year Treasury for the first time since December 2008.

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Astor Asset Management Sees No Double-Dip, Just Slow But Growing

Posted by Gabriel F. Burczyk on 8/17/10 7:39 am

The first half of 2010 was mired with inconsistencies. The markets rallied to new recovery highs only to fall back to fourth quarter levels as uncertainly about the recovery and fears of the debt problems in Europe were said to be spreading. The reality is the markets finished the quarter about 12% above last years Q2 close, even after digesting most of the bad news.

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Two Steps Forward, Two Steps Back - Roosevelt's August Outlook

Posted by Michael O'Connor on 8/13/10 7:42 am

As we close the month of July the S&P 500 index is essentially unchanged for the year, down 0.27%. While this sounds somewhat boring and uneventful, so far the year has been anything but. Macroeconomic issues have been at the forefront, ranging from concerns about sovereign debt problems in Europe, the possibility of a hard landing in China, increased regulatory intervention globally, and the possibility of a "double-dip" into recession in the U.S. These concerns, abetted by somewhat tepid economic data in this country, the oil spill, and the May "flash crash", have resulted in a volatile market that has left many investors feeling exhausted and risk averse.

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We Are Still In a Self-Sustaining Economic Recovery - Emerson Investment Management

Posted by Michael O'Connor on 7/26/10 5:24 am

This year began with steady gains in stock prices along with an improving global economic picture. But during the second quarter, volatility returned to the market as investor confidence in the sustainability of the recovery waned. The quarter finished on a tumultuous note with most global stock indices down from their April post-recovery highs.

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Avatar Associates Offers Their July 2010 Edition of The Avatar Advisor

Posted by Gabriel F. Burczyk on 7/14/10 1:46 pm

Avatar believes the recent market decline appears to be caused by an identifiable slowdown in global growth, and further deterioration in the quality of sovereign debt. But against this backdrop Avatar has seen a big improvement in the corporate sector. Cost cutting and improved balance sheets have led to the largest ratio of corporate cash inflow to outflow on record.

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