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Money manager Roosevelt Investments has hired Mesirow Financial's international equity team in an effort to expand Roosevelt's product offering. The deal, expected to close Tuesday January 31, 2012, would bring over the seven-person Mesirow team lead by Leila Heckman, Ph.D. and includes John Mullin, Ph.D., and Vijay Chopra, Ph.D. Together, the team manages $300 million in four international and global equity strategies based on proprietary quantitative research processes.
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Louis Navellier of money manager Navellier & Associates examines fourth quarter GDP growth and the current earnings season for US corporations. "So far, the fourth-quarter earnings announcement season resembles the Florida GOP presidential primary, where it's "every man for himself." Likewise, earnings announcements are entering a phase I would call "every stock for itself." Some companies are showing great earnings while others miss badly. For example, Google got hit hard, while Apple surged in the wake of its latest quarterly results."
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Bob Doll, Chief Equity Strategist at money manager BlackRock, sees a constructive background for stocks moving forward. "On balance, however, we believe the positives outweigh the negatives. Central banks remain highly committed to promoting better economic growth and while we are not expecting to see a clear resolution for the European debt crisis, we do expect it to remain reasonably well contained. Given this backdrop, we think it is likely that modest levels of economic growth should continue, which should help pave the way for risk asset outperformance."
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Money manager Roosevelt Investments' latest commentary reviews the fourth quarter of 2011 and details their outlook for 2012. "We are encouraged by the current low inflationary environment, continuing corporate profits growth, and the improving employment picture. While we are not making the case for a robust US economy, we do see it as improving and thereby less vulnerable to the potential for further negative shocks emanating from Europe."
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Posted by Thomas Wilson on 1/18/12 11:19 am
BlackRock's Bob Doll examines the various risks to watch in 2012 and stresses the importance of containing those risks. "We are not suggesting that stocks will move inexorably higher this year and we are quite certain that we have not seen the end of market volatility. We do believe, however, that decent earnings prospects, plus dividend yields plus a moderate improvement in valuations should be enough for US stocks to post double-digit returns in 2012."
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Eagle Asset Management recently held a roundtable discussion with many of their portfolio managers, each offering informed perspectives on the current market situation and potential investment opportunities. "Headwinds from 2011 are likely to continue into 2012, with new twists and opportunities. Volatility - while challenging in the short term - can create unique opportunities for long-term investors with a focus on business fundamentals, company specifics and a reasonable investment horizon. Ultimately, valuations matter and the current tone of negativity may present a reasonable environment for active, experienced investors."
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John and Nick Calamos have released their latest commentary reviewing 2011 and looking forward to 2012. They analyze the changes that have taken place in the world and find that none so far have provided real and long-term solutions. Even so, they do see the equity markets as the best way to take advantage of global growth opportunities. "Indeed, even as we anticipate high volatility in the markets, we see significant growth potential in the global economy driven by secular themes related to emerging market consumers, infrastructure build-out and rebuilding, and technology innovation. We believe the equity markets provide the best way to access global growth opportunities, and with far better risk/reward characteristics than most countries' government bonds."
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Chief Equity Strategist for BlackRock Bob Doll reviews their asset allocation outlook for 2012. Their equity, fixed income and municipal fixed income outlooks for 2012 are also discussed. "Conditions have improved compared to last quarter, with the US economy showing signs of acceleration and European policymakers moving further along the path of progress. With the bearish tone receding, investors should consider moving into "risk" assets and out of "safe" assets, especially on pullbacks."
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Louis Navellier gives his forecast for 2012, focusing on the presidential election cycle and the European debt fiasco. "Like many investors, we view the New Year as an exciting time, especially since 2012 is a presidential election year. If history repeats itself, the stock market will rally right up to the November presidential election. Both consumer and investor confidence should improve when the presidential field narrows to the final two candidates who typically run around and suck up to voters. We realize there will be negative ads, similar to what are already airing in Iowa; but in the end, one cannot be elected President of the United States unless you are a happy, positive person, so we predict the presidential candidates will continue to smile regardless of political action committee (PAC) financed negative ads."
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BlackRock's annual list of predictions for the coming year is out. Chief Equity Strategist Bob Doll explains each and the reasoning behind them. "In summary, 2012 is likely to feature a slow-growth world that includes a recession in Europe. The United States faces headwinds, but manages to achieve growth of between 2% and 2.5%."
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