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23 posts tagged with "Federated Investors"
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Stephen Auth, Chief Investment Officer for equities at money manager Federated Investors reviews three main global focal points: Japan's recovery and outlook from the nuclear threat, the continued violence in the Middle East, and the increasing US economic recovery. Given their views on these events, Federated reiterates its year-end target of 1450 on the S&P500.
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Money manager Federated Investors is out with a great market memo discussing their case for oil and how the recent events in the Middle East could affect pricing and the economy. Long-term they are bullish on oil and use historical events to form part of their conviction. Saudi Arabia, Libya, and Nigeria are discussed and ultimately arrive at the conclusion that the situation is likely overblown with regard to oil prices. For those looking for details about the situation and each country, this is a great read.
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Federated Investors comments on "the somewhat numbing subject of municipal credit quality that has suddenly become a hot topic in cocktail conversations." The money manager thinks "this must be what happens when the highly rated "60 Minutes" features a story with a veteran banking analyst suggesting the muni market could be the next subprime fiasco, with as many as "50 to 100 sizeable defaults" among local governments and issuers amounting to "hundreds of billions of dollars." The only problem: such reports may be conversation starters, but they are unduly alarmist and quite simply, extreme."
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Federated Investors' Chief Investment Officer Stephen Auth remains firmly in the camp that the markets continue to grind higher next year, while the economy moves into a reacceleration phase following the mid-2010 soft patch. And while equities have had a big move so far, they're still 25% below their all-time peak.
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Money manager Federated Investors details President Obama's fiscal policy compromise to jumpstart job creation and stimulate stronger economic growth. The bill was met with universal support on Wall Street as economists predict it could add 0.5%-1% of additional growth to GDP in 2011. This faster growth could help reduce the unemployment rate, although Federated anticipates a 10% unemployment rate before it starts to decline.
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Money manager Federated Investors looks back at their predictions since the onset of the 2008 global financial crisis. They were surprised at how prescient some of their calls and recommendations proved to be. Always humble, Federated also shares their predictions that they didn't get so right.
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ISI Group says the list of countries that would like to see their currencies weakened or remain undervalued for competitive reasons keeps growing. Japan, Switzerland, South Korea and others in East Asia are the latest to act. "We are in the midst of an international currency war," Brazil's finance minister said this week.
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That's not my quote; that comes from the Oracle of Omaha. At an economic development summit in Montana on Monday, Warren Buffett said business at all his firm's diverse businesses is on the rise. His comments fit with much of the recent economic data that has been pouring in, including some this week (see below).
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In this must read report, Federated shares an example of a company they like, Kimberly-Clark, and compares it to why Wall Street does not. The results are surprising. "We're often asked how we manage our portfolios differently from other managers. Yes, you have heard us talk about the combination of high yield and dividend growth. Yes, you understand that dividends dominate the components of total return, which sounds very important indeed. Yes, it all looks quite good, but sometimes you just want to ask 'What's it all mean?'"
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The Fed this week unveiled "QE2 lite"- a new quantitative-easing tool. But it's not clear how much rolling over maturing mortgage-backed security debt into Treasuries can help. As Dallas Fed Senior Economist Thomas Siems said in The Wall Street Journal, "It's not a lack of liquidity that's holding back our economy. Investors and business leaders are waiting to learn more about future taxes and regulations."
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