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BlackRock's Municipal Bond Management Committee reviews recent developments in the muni bond market. "We maintain a neutral view for the market, but with a bias toward greater risk taking through increased exposure to municipal credit. Recent favorites have included names in the transportation and hospital sectors. We remind investors that careful credit research and selectivity remain important in the still uncertain economic and market environment."
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Bob Doll, Chief Equity Strategist for BlackRock's Fundamental Equities, reviews his 10 predictions for 2011 which he made at the beginning of the year. "Market fundamentals continue to remain sound, with revenues, earnings and free cash flow growth all showing signs of strength. For some time now, we have been arguing that the economy would "muddle through" while markets "grind higher." That has been the case for the first half of the year, and we expect the second half to be just as good, if not better."
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Posted by Valerie De Vol on 6/30/11 2:36 pm
Money manager BlackRock is out with their third quarter investment directions and asset allocation overview. Bob Doll, Chief Equity Strategist for Fundamental Equities, and Peter Fisher, Global Head of Fixed Income urge continued caution at present as the markets are demonstrating uncertainty and risk-adverse sentiment. As the third quarter progresses, they believe buying opportunities should accelerate as market risks recede.
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Money manager BlackRock suggests the current market could present buying opportunities, but cautions that volatility levels will likely remain elevated. "The combination of still-strong corporate earnings and a downturn in equity prices has made stocks more attractive from a valuation perspective. To us, this scenario represents a potential buying opportunity, particularly for those who share our view that the economy should see a reacceleration in the months ahead."
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This week's commentary from BlackRock focuses on the series of recent disappointing economic reports and ultimately concludes the economic forecast will be largely dependent on the jobs market. "In retrospect, a disappointing data set should not have been that surprising given the weaker data we have seen over the past month. There has clearly been a soft patch in economic performance this spring, and as such, the employment growth rate is slowing rather than accelerating."
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BlackRock's Chief Equity Strategist Bob Doll comments on the current period of economic weakness and a few of the tail-winds supporting the economy. "Taking a broader view of the markets, we can see that the current market rough patch has emerged in part because of a softening in economic data. However, it is also due to the increasing number of downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, a lack of clarity over how to deal with the debt problems in Europe, the earlier spike in oil and other commodities and pending changes in monetary and fiscal policies."
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BlackRock's Chief Equity Strategist for Fundamental Equities examines Ben Bernanke's historic press conference and the Fed's recent two day meeting. All told, their view towards the markets continues to be cautiously optimistic. "At the Federal Reserve's policy meeting and subsequent press conference last week, central bankers announced no significant changes in their policy approach. The Fed remains on track to complete its QE2 program of Treasury purchases at the end of June, and Chairman Bernanke made it clear in his comments that the Fed will keep rates low for an extended period."
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BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer of US Fundamental Equity Chris Leavy shares his thoughts on re-entering the equity markets after The Lost Decade. "Today, equities as an asset class are supported by strong corporate balance sheets and earnings growth and are well positioned to return significant value to investors over the coming years. Investors should consider global multinational stocks with dividends for income and exposure to emerging markets growth."
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"The events of the last several weeks serve as a reminder about how quickly potential risks can turn into downside reality. The regime changes in Tunisia and Egypt, other uprisings in the region, the escalation of the civil war in Libya and the potential for nuclear catastrophe in Japan have all worked together to drive investor unease higher and have caused significantly higher levels of market volatility. Predicting the exact outcome of any, let alone all, of these events is, of course, impossible, but based on the information we have today, our assessment is that none of these risks have yet derailed or will derail, the global economic recovery or the longer-term bull market in equities."
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Money manager BlackRock reviews the municipal bond market and gives their outlook and strategy for the asset class. "January is traditionally a period of seasonal strength for the municipal markets. However, negative headlines and mutual fund outflows continued to move municipal rates higher (and prices lower). Fundamental challenges will continue to be met with negative press, prompting us to adopt a neutral view for the market. That said, we would remind investors that setbacks can be healthy in that they allow the markets to re-price and can present an attractive value for long-term investors willing and able to participate and weather interim volatility."
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