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The past year has been one of the most volatile periods in history for the capital markets with investor panic, a credit market freeze, and a sharp downturn in economic growth. Aggressive interventions by the federal government appear to have done their job of avoiding an economic disaster. The result has been a sharp market rally since March, and a narrowing of spreads between Treasuries and other fixed income securities. The economic environment is still uncertain, and money managers, and private asset management firms, will need to return to their basics to focus on what they can control – investment discipline, fundamental research, and diversification.
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Alliance Bernstein believes that the recent market rally has brought some needed relief to investors. But as signs of an economic recovery build, risk and uncertainty remain in the marketplace. Opportunities can be found though as the continuation of risk aversion has created the potential for attractive returns in many investments.
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Navellier remains optimistic about the long term prospects for the U.S. economy. Although there are problems with consumer confidence and unemployment, easy year-over-year earnings comparisons and positive economic headlines should help the overall stock market.
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Clover Capital offers some insight into the current stock market cycle we are experiencing. The “confusion” chapter which began with the market lows in March, and continues through today, is marked by rising stock prices and poor economic conditions. During this time period the S&P 500 posted its 16th best quarterly return since 1927. But what does this mean for the future?
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WHV believes the downturn in the United States and global economies is moderating, and a return to growth will occur in 2010. However, there are many potential roadblocks still in place that may stall a robust recovery.
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